All case studies
England, Scotland and WalesCompleted 2023

Electrification of Heat demonstration, UK-wide

742 monitored heat pumps installed across the UK housing stock by BEIS/DESNZ; the most comprehensive recent dataset on how heat pumps actually perform in real homes.

Source

Summarised from Department for Energy Security and Net Zero, a Tier 1 source on Your Home Climate. We did not run this project; the figures below are reported by them. Click through to verify any of them at the original publication.

https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/electrification-of-heat-demonstration-project-final-report

The problem, before any work started

By the early 2020s most UK households deciding about a heat pump were working from anecdote, brochure SCOPs, and a single decade-old field trial. DESNZ needed a recent, large-sample, monitored answer to one question: does a heat pump installed today actually work in a normal British house?

What actually happened

  1. 01742 heat pump systems were installed across England, Scotland and Wales between 2020 and 2023.
  2. 02Every property had electricity input and heat output measured continuously across whole heating seasons.
  3. 03The sample deliberately spanned every common UK housing archetype, not just the easy ones.
  4. 04Final report and underlying data were published openly by DESNZ.

What changed for the home

  • The debate moved from anecdote to a public, large-sample monitored dataset.
  • Median in-situ SCOP across the sample landed at 2.80; the top quartile cleared 3.30.
  • Every common UK housing archetype was shown to be technically suitable.

What the source reports

  • Median in-situ SCOP across the sample2.80measured
  • Top quartile in-situ SCOP≥ 3.30measured
  • Properties shown to be suitableEvery common UK housing archetypereported

Measured means monitored data from the site. Reported is the publisher's stated figure. Modelled is a target or design figure rather than an outcome.

What this case can, and can't, tell you

What it tells us

  • Heat pumps installed today work across every common UK housing archetype, including older homes.
  • The dominant determinant of in-situ efficiency is design and flow-temperature choice, not the badge on the unit.
  • A well-designed install can clear 3.3 SCOP in the British climate; a poorly designed one can sit below 2.5.

What it doesn't

  • What a typical install from a typical installer outside a monitored programme actually achieves.
  • How efficiency holds up across a full ten-year replacement cycle; monitoring covers heating seasons, not asset life.
  • Running cost in your specific home; that depends on tariff, occupancy and the eventual flow temperature your house tolerates.

Our take

We treat this as the most defensible recent answer to the heat-pump-in-Britain question. We cite the median where readers want a single number and the spread whenever the decision actually depends on installer quality. Anyone quoting a single laboratory SCOP at a homeowner is selling, not advising.